R-squared and variance relation












0














According to Wiki:



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



$1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
is the variance of the residuals.



I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



$e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



The variance of the residuals is:



$sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?










share|cite|improve this question





























    0














    According to Wiki:



    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



    $1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



    Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
    is the variance of the residuals.



    I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



    $e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



    The variance of the residuals is:



    $sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
    sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



    Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?










    share|cite|improve this question



























      0












      0








      0







      According to Wiki:



      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



      $1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



      Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
      is the variance of the residuals.



      I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



      $e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



      The variance of the residuals is:



      $sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
      sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



      Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?










      share|cite|improve this question















      According to Wiki:



      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraction_of_variance_unexplained



      $1 - R^2 = VAR_{err}/VAR_{tot}$



      Where $VAR_{err} = sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i)^2$
      is the variance of the residuals.



      I don't see how this is correct, unless the residuals have mean zero. To see this, define the residuals:



      $e_i = y_i - hat{y}_i$



      The variance of the residuals is:



      $sum_{i = 1}^N (e_i - bar{e}_i)^2 =
      sum_{i = 1}^N (y_i - hat{y}_i - bar{e}_i)^2 $



      Do you disagree or is Wikipedia wrong?







      statistics regression






      share|cite|improve this question















      share|cite|improve this question













      share|cite|improve this question




      share|cite|improve this question








      edited Dec 9 '18 at 20:05









      Picaud Vincent

      1,21838




      1,21838










      asked Dec 9 '18 at 19:57









      hans

      11




      11






















          1 Answer
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          0














          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer





















          • Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58











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          1 Answer
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          active

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          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes









          0














          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer





















          • Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58
















          0














          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer





















          • Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58














          0












          0








          0






          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$






          share|cite|improve this answer












          Note that in OLS regression with an intercept term, due to the "first order condition", when you take derivative w.r.t. $beta_0$ you have
          $$
          -2sum_{i=1}^n (y_i - hat{beta}_0 - hat{beta}_1x_{1i} - cdots hat{beta}_px_{pi}) = -2sum e_i =0,
          $$

          hence
          $$
          bar{e}_n = 0,
          $$

          thus
          $$
          hat{sigma}^2 = frac{1}{n}sum(e_i - bar{e})^2 = frac{sum e_i ^ 2}{n}.
          $$







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Dec 10 '18 at 21:23









          V. Vancak

          10.8k2926




          10.8k2926












          • Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58


















          • Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
            – hans
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:13










          • @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
            – V. Vancak
            Dec 25 '18 at 9:58
















          Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
          – hans
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:13




          Thanks for the answer, but this not only hold for linear models? I think Wiki is wrong since it treats the more general case, but still imposes this assumption.
          – hans
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:13












          @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
          – V. Vancak
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:58




          @hans The residuals have zero mean for any model with an intercept term and least-squares estimation.
          – V. Vancak
          Dec 25 '18 at 9:58


















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