Central limit theorem … need help












0












$begingroup$


So far I have used Chebychev's inequality to calculate n = 157, and my initial thinking for applying the central limit theorem is -1.2815 = (5-0n)/(n* sqrt(391/n)) because P(Z > -1.2815) = 90%, however this isn't giving me the correct value for n so I'm not sure what to try now.



"You want to determine the melting point
c
of a new material. You have
n
specimens on each of which you make a measurement of the melting point in degrees Kelvin, giving you a dataset
m
1
,…,
m
n
. We model this with random variables
M
i
=c+
U
i
, where
U
i
is the random measurement error. It is known that
E[
U
i
]=0
and Var
(
U
i
)=391
for each
i
, and that we may consider the random variables
M
1
,
M
2
,…
as independent.



how many measurements do you need to perform to be
90%
sure that the average of the measurements is within
5
degrees of
c?



Use the normal approximation (central limit theorem rule of thumb) to find a value for
n
. You can use that the
0.95
quantile of the standard normal distribution is
q(0.95)≈1.645
."










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$

















    0












    $begingroup$


    So far I have used Chebychev's inequality to calculate n = 157, and my initial thinking for applying the central limit theorem is -1.2815 = (5-0n)/(n* sqrt(391/n)) because P(Z > -1.2815) = 90%, however this isn't giving me the correct value for n so I'm not sure what to try now.



    "You want to determine the melting point
    c
    of a new material. You have
    n
    specimens on each of which you make a measurement of the melting point in degrees Kelvin, giving you a dataset
    m
    1
    ,…,
    m
    n
    . We model this with random variables
    M
    i
    =c+
    U
    i
    , where
    U
    i
    is the random measurement error. It is known that
    E[
    U
    i
    ]=0
    and Var
    (
    U
    i
    )=391
    for each
    i
    , and that we may consider the random variables
    M
    1
    ,
    M
    2
    ,…
    as independent.



    how many measurements do you need to perform to be
    90%
    sure that the average of the measurements is within
    5
    degrees of
    c?



    Use the normal approximation (central limit theorem rule of thumb) to find a value for
    n
    . You can use that the
    0.95
    quantile of the standard normal distribution is
    q(0.95)≈1.645
    ."










    share|cite|improve this question









    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      So far I have used Chebychev's inequality to calculate n = 157, and my initial thinking for applying the central limit theorem is -1.2815 = (5-0n)/(n* sqrt(391/n)) because P(Z > -1.2815) = 90%, however this isn't giving me the correct value for n so I'm not sure what to try now.



      "You want to determine the melting point
      c
      of a new material. You have
      n
      specimens on each of which you make a measurement of the melting point in degrees Kelvin, giving you a dataset
      m
      1
      ,…,
      m
      n
      . We model this with random variables
      M
      i
      =c+
      U
      i
      , where
      U
      i
      is the random measurement error. It is known that
      E[
      U
      i
      ]=0
      and Var
      (
      U
      i
      )=391
      for each
      i
      , and that we may consider the random variables
      M
      1
      ,
      M
      2
      ,…
      as independent.



      how many measurements do you need to perform to be
      90%
      sure that the average of the measurements is within
      5
      degrees of
      c?



      Use the normal approximation (central limit theorem rule of thumb) to find a value for
      n
      . You can use that the
      0.95
      quantile of the standard normal distribution is
      q(0.95)≈1.645
      ."










      share|cite|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      So far I have used Chebychev's inequality to calculate n = 157, and my initial thinking for applying the central limit theorem is -1.2815 = (5-0n)/(n* sqrt(391/n)) because P(Z > -1.2815) = 90%, however this isn't giving me the correct value for n so I'm not sure what to try now.



      "You want to determine the melting point
      c
      of a new material. You have
      n
      specimens on each of which you make a measurement of the melting point in degrees Kelvin, giving you a dataset
      m
      1
      ,…,
      m
      n
      . We model this with random variables
      M
      i
      =c+
      U
      i
      , where
      U
      i
      is the random measurement error. It is known that
      E[
      U
      i
      ]=0
      and Var
      (
      U
      i
      )=391
      for each
      i
      , and that we may consider the random variables
      M
      1
      ,
      M
      2
      ,…
      as independent.



      how many measurements do you need to perform to be
      90%
      sure that the average of the measurements is within
      5
      degrees of
      c?



      Use the normal approximation (central limit theorem rule of thumb) to find a value for
      n
      . You can use that the
      0.95
      quantile of the standard normal distribution is
      q(0.95)≈1.645
      ."







      probability probability-theory central-limit-theorem






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      asked Dec 28 '18 at 14:05









      KiryneKiryne

      135




      135






















          1 Answer
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          $begingroup$

          begin{align}
          P left(left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5 right)&=P left(sqrt{n}left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5sqrt{n} right)\
          &approx Pleft(|Z|<frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}right)
          end{align}



          That is we want $$frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}ge 1.645$$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













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            1 Answer
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            $begingroup$

            begin{align}
            P left(left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5 right)&=P left(sqrt{n}left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5sqrt{n} right)\
            &approx Pleft(|Z|<frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}right)
            end{align}



            That is we want $$frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}ge 1.645$$






            share|cite|improve this answer









            $endgroup$


















              0












              $begingroup$

              begin{align}
              P left(left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5 right)&=P left(sqrt{n}left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5sqrt{n} right)\
              &approx Pleft(|Z|<frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}right)
              end{align}



              That is we want $$frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}ge 1.645$$






              share|cite|improve this answer









              $endgroup$
















                0












                0








                0





                $begingroup$

                begin{align}
                P left(left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5 right)&=P left(sqrt{n}left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5sqrt{n} right)\
                &approx Pleft(|Z|<frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}right)
                end{align}



                That is we want $$frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}ge 1.645$$






                share|cite|improve this answer









                $endgroup$



                begin{align}
                P left(left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5 right)&=P left(sqrt{n}left| frac{sum_{i=1}^nM_i}{n}-cright|<5sqrt{n} right)\
                &approx Pleft(|Z|<frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}right)
                end{align}



                That is we want $$frac{5sqrt{n}}{sqrt{Var(U_i)}}ge 1.645$$







                share|cite|improve this answer












                share|cite|improve this answer



                share|cite|improve this answer










                answered Dec 28 '18 at 14:25









                Siong Thye GohSiong Thye Goh

                101k1466118




                101k1466118






























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