Probability and expectancy problem











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if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?










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  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 10 at 18:56















up vote
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down vote

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if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?










share|cite|improve this question
























  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 10 at 18:56













up vote
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down vote

favorite
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up vote
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down vote

favorite
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if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?










share|cite|improve this question















if we choose a size $25$ subset of the set: ${1,2,....100}$
what is the expectancy of the number of sequential pairs in the subset?
expectancy still confuses me, can anybody help?







probability expected-value






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edited Dec 5 at 18:46









greedoid

36.7k114593




36.7k114593










asked Dec 5 at 18:35









user610402

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354












  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 10 at 18:56


















  • Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 10 at 18:56
















Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
– StubbornAtom
Dec 10 at 18:56




Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/1566418/….
– StubbornAtom
Dec 10 at 18:56










2 Answers
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Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



$$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



$$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






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    Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



    Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






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    • Is that better @copper.hat?
      – greedoid
      Dec 5 at 18:44












    • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
      – copper.hat
      Dec 5 at 18:49











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    2 Answers
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    2 Answers
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    up vote
    3
    down vote



    accepted










    Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



    Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



    $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



    But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



    Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



    $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






    share|cite|improve this answer

























      up vote
      3
      down vote



      accepted










      Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



      Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



      $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



      But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



      Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



      $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






      share|cite|improve this answer























        up vote
        3
        down vote



        accepted







        up vote
        3
        down vote



        accepted






        Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



        Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



        $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



        But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



        Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



        $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$






        share|cite|improve this answer












        Let's assign a label $1,2 dots 25$ (arbitrary order) to each of the selected numbers. Let $A_{i,j}$ with $1le i<j le 25$ be $1$ if elements with labels $i,j$ have sequential values, $0$ otherwise.



        Then $X = sum A_{i,j}$ counts the number of sequential pairs, which is what we want, and



        $$E(X)=sum A_{i,j}$$



        But $E(X)=sum E[A_{i,j}]= n_p P(A_{i,j} = 1) = n_p frac{99}{binom{100}{2}}$



        Where $n_p = binom{25}{2}=300$ is the number of pairs. Then



        $$E(X) = frac{300 times 99} { binom{100}{2}}=6$$







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Dec 5 at 18:52









        leonbloy

        40.1k645107




        40.1k645107






















            up vote
            7
            down vote













            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






            share|cite|improve this answer























            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49















            up vote
            7
            down vote













            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






            share|cite|improve this answer























            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49













            up vote
            7
            down vote










            up vote
            7
            down vote









            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$






            share|cite|improve this answer














            Let $X_i$ be an indicator random variable that $i$ and $i+1$ ($iin {1,2,...,99}$) are in a choosen subset.



            Then $$ P(X_i = 1) = {{98choose 23}over {100choose 25}}= {6over 99}$$ Since $X= X_1+...+X_{99}$ we have $$ E(X) = E(X_1)+...+E(X_{99}) = 99{6over 99} = 6$$







            share|cite|improve this answer














            share|cite|improve this answer



            share|cite|improve this answer








            edited Dec 5 at 18:59

























            answered Dec 5 at 18:39









            greedoid

            36.7k114593




            36.7k114593












            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49


















            • Is that better @copper.hat?
              – greedoid
              Dec 5 at 18:44












            • Yes thanks. ${}{}$
              – copper.hat
              Dec 5 at 18:49
















            Is that better @copper.hat?
            – greedoid
            Dec 5 at 18:44






            Is that better @copper.hat?
            – greedoid
            Dec 5 at 18:44














            Yes thanks. ${}{}$
            – copper.hat
            Dec 5 at 18:49




            Yes thanks. ${}{}$
            – copper.hat
            Dec 5 at 18:49


















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