Expected value of Brownian motion at a time decided by a rate one Poisson process.












1












$begingroup$


Situation:




We have that ${W_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Brownian motion and
${N_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Poisson process such that $N_{t}$ follows a
Poisson distribution with parameter $t$. This process is independent
from our Brownian motion.




Question: a) Show that $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=t$



b) For $ageq 0$ we define the stopping time: $tau=inf{tgeq 0:|W_{t}|>a}$. Show that this stopping time is finite.



My attempt: a) Keeping in mind that Brownian motion has independent normally distributed increments, I rewrite the problem into:



$mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=mathbb{E}[(W_{N_{t}}-W_{s}+W_{s})^{2}]$ where $0leq s<N_{t}$.



Using the Brownian motion properties a few more times, this reduces to $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=N_{t}$, which looks like the desired answer but obviously is not. I thought of doing the same trick but with $N_{s}$ instead of $s$, but again no luck. This is a trick I learned during lectures but I'm starting to doubt if it works here aswell.



b) Intuitively, this makes obvious sense. Eventually we will cross hit $a$ and thus the stopping is finite. However, I struggle to make this a solid proof. Perhaps I could use the Law of Large Numbers but I'm not sure if it is applicable here.



Any help is appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$

















    1












    $begingroup$


    Situation:




    We have that ${W_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Brownian motion and
    ${N_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Poisson process such that $N_{t}$ follows a
    Poisson distribution with parameter $t$. This process is independent
    from our Brownian motion.




    Question: a) Show that $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=t$



    b) For $ageq 0$ we define the stopping time: $tau=inf{tgeq 0:|W_{t}|>a}$. Show that this stopping time is finite.



    My attempt: a) Keeping in mind that Brownian motion has independent normally distributed increments, I rewrite the problem into:



    $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=mathbb{E}[(W_{N_{t}}-W_{s}+W_{s})^{2}]$ where $0leq s<N_{t}$.



    Using the Brownian motion properties a few more times, this reduces to $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=N_{t}$, which looks like the desired answer but obviously is not. I thought of doing the same trick but with $N_{s}$ instead of $s$, but again no luck. This is a trick I learned during lectures but I'm starting to doubt if it works here aswell.



    b) Intuitively, this makes obvious sense. Eventually we will cross hit $a$ and thus the stopping is finite. However, I struggle to make this a solid proof. Perhaps I could use the Law of Large Numbers but I'm not sure if it is applicable here.



    Any help is appreciated.










    share|cite|improve this question











    $endgroup$















      1












      1








      1





      $begingroup$


      Situation:




      We have that ${W_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Brownian motion and
      ${N_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Poisson process such that $N_{t}$ follows a
      Poisson distribution with parameter $t$. This process is independent
      from our Brownian motion.




      Question: a) Show that $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=t$



      b) For $ageq 0$ we define the stopping time: $tau=inf{tgeq 0:|W_{t}|>a}$. Show that this stopping time is finite.



      My attempt: a) Keeping in mind that Brownian motion has independent normally distributed increments, I rewrite the problem into:



      $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=mathbb{E}[(W_{N_{t}}-W_{s}+W_{s})^{2}]$ where $0leq s<N_{t}$.



      Using the Brownian motion properties a few more times, this reduces to $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=N_{t}$, which looks like the desired answer but obviously is not. I thought of doing the same trick but with $N_{s}$ instead of $s$, but again no luck. This is a trick I learned during lectures but I'm starting to doubt if it works here aswell.



      b) Intuitively, this makes obvious sense. Eventually we will cross hit $a$ and thus the stopping is finite. However, I struggle to make this a solid proof. Perhaps I could use the Law of Large Numbers but I'm not sure if it is applicable here.



      Any help is appreciated.










      share|cite|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      Situation:




      We have that ${W_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Brownian motion and
      ${N_{t},tgeq 0}$ is a Poisson process such that $N_{t}$ follows a
      Poisson distribution with parameter $t$. This process is independent
      from our Brownian motion.




      Question: a) Show that $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=t$



      b) For $ageq 0$ we define the stopping time: $tau=inf{tgeq 0:|W_{t}|>a}$. Show that this stopping time is finite.



      My attempt: a) Keeping in mind that Brownian motion has independent normally distributed increments, I rewrite the problem into:



      $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=mathbb{E}[(W_{N_{t}}-W_{s}+W_{s})^{2}]$ where $0leq s<N_{t}$.



      Using the Brownian motion properties a few more times, this reduces to $mathbb{E}[W^{2}_{N_{t}}]=N_{t}$, which looks like the desired answer but obviously is not. I thought of doing the same trick but with $N_{s}$ instead of $s$, but again no luck. This is a trick I learned during lectures but I'm starting to doubt if it works here aswell.



      b) Intuitively, this makes obvious sense. Eventually we will cross hit $a$ and thus the stopping is finite. However, I struggle to make this a solid proof. Perhaps I could use the Law of Large Numbers but I'm not sure if it is applicable here.



      Any help is appreciated.







      probability-theory brownian-motion stopping-times poisson-process expected-value






      share|cite|improve this question















      share|cite|improve this question













      share|cite|improve this question




      share|cite|improve this question








      edited Jan 1 at 8:49









      saz

      81.3k861127




      81.3k861127










      asked Dec 31 '18 at 17:23









      S. CrimS. Crim

      389112




      389112






















          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes


















          2












          $begingroup$

          Note that $N_t$ is a random variable and therefore the statement "where $0 leq s < N_t$" doesn't make sense.





          $N_t$ takes values in $mathbb{N}_0$ and because of the independence from $(W_t)_{t geq 0}$ we have



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} left( sum_{k geq 0} W_k^2 1_{{N_t = k}} right) = sum_{k geq 0} underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} underbrace{mathbb{P}(N_t=k)}_{=e^{-t} t^k/k!} = t e^{-t} sum_{k geq 1} frac{t^{k-1}}{(k-1)!} =t.$$



          Alternatively, we can use the tower property of the conditional expectation to show that



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} big[ mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2 mid N_t) big] = mathbb{E} big[ underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} big|_{k=N_t} big] = mathbb{E}(N_t)=t.$$





          To prove that the stopping time $tau$ is almost surely finite we can use the optional stopping theorem. Since $M_t := W_t^2-t$ is a martingale, it follows from the optional stopping theorem that $$mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2) = mathbb{E}(t wedge tau).$$ Since $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ this gives $$mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a^2,$$ and now the monotone convergence theorem yields $$mathbb{E}(tau) leq a^2$$ which shows, in particular, that $tau<infty$ almost surely.






          share|cite|improve this answer











          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
            $endgroup$
            – S. Crim
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:14








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:17








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:21






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:09













          Your Answer





          StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
          return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
          StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
          StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
          });
          });
          }, "mathjax-editing");

          StackExchange.ready(function() {
          var channelOptions = {
          tags: "".split(" "),
          id: "69"
          };
          initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

          StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
          // Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
          if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
          StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
          createEditor();
          });
          }
          else {
          createEditor();
          }
          });

          function createEditor() {
          StackExchange.prepareEditor({
          heartbeatType: 'answer',
          autoActivateHeartbeat: false,
          convertImagesToLinks: true,
          noModals: true,
          showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
          reputationToPostImages: 10,
          bindNavPrevention: true,
          postfix: "",
          imageUploader: {
          brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
          contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
          allowUrls: true
          },
          noCode: true, onDemand: true,
          discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
          ,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
          });


          }
          });














          draft saved

          draft discarded


















          StackExchange.ready(
          function () {
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3057880%2fexpected-value-of-brownian-motion-at-a-time-decided-by-a-rate-one-poisson-proces%23new-answer', 'question_page');
          }
          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown

























          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes








          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes









          2












          $begingroup$

          Note that $N_t$ is a random variable and therefore the statement "where $0 leq s < N_t$" doesn't make sense.





          $N_t$ takes values in $mathbb{N}_0$ and because of the independence from $(W_t)_{t geq 0}$ we have



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} left( sum_{k geq 0} W_k^2 1_{{N_t = k}} right) = sum_{k geq 0} underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} underbrace{mathbb{P}(N_t=k)}_{=e^{-t} t^k/k!} = t e^{-t} sum_{k geq 1} frac{t^{k-1}}{(k-1)!} =t.$$



          Alternatively, we can use the tower property of the conditional expectation to show that



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} big[ mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2 mid N_t) big] = mathbb{E} big[ underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} big|_{k=N_t} big] = mathbb{E}(N_t)=t.$$





          To prove that the stopping time $tau$ is almost surely finite we can use the optional stopping theorem. Since $M_t := W_t^2-t$ is a martingale, it follows from the optional stopping theorem that $$mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2) = mathbb{E}(t wedge tau).$$ Since $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ this gives $$mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a^2,$$ and now the monotone convergence theorem yields $$mathbb{E}(tau) leq a^2$$ which shows, in particular, that $tau<infty$ almost surely.






          share|cite|improve this answer











          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
            $endgroup$
            – S. Crim
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:14








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:17








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:21






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:09


















          2












          $begingroup$

          Note that $N_t$ is a random variable and therefore the statement "where $0 leq s < N_t$" doesn't make sense.





          $N_t$ takes values in $mathbb{N}_0$ and because of the independence from $(W_t)_{t geq 0}$ we have



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} left( sum_{k geq 0} W_k^2 1_{{N_t = k}} right) = sum_{k geq 0} underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} underbrace{mathbb{P}(N_t=k)}_{=e^{-t} t^k/k!} = t e^{-t} sum_{k geq 1} frac{t^{k-1}}{(k-1)!} =t.$$



          Alternatively, we can use the tower property of the conditional expectation to show that



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} big[ mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2 mid N_t) big] = mathbb{E} big[ underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} big|_{k=N_t} big] = mathbb{E}(N_t)=t.$$





          To prove that the stopping time $tau$ is almost surely finite we can use the optional stopping theorem. Since $M_t := W_t^2-t$ is a martingale, it follows from the optional stopping theorem that $$mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2) = mathbb{E}(t wedge tau).$$ Since $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ this gives $$mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a^2,$$ and now the monotone convergence theorem yields $$mathbb{E}(tau) leq a^2$$ which shows, in particular, that $tau<infty$ almost surely.






          share|cite|improve this answer











          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
            $endgroup$
            – S. Crim
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:14








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:17








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:21






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:09
















          2












          2








          2





          $begingroup$

          Note that $N_t$ is a random variable and therefore the statement "where $0 leq s < N_t$" doesn't make sense.





          $N_t$ takes values in $mathbb{N}_0$ and because of the independence from $(W_t)_{t geq 0}$ we have



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} left( sum_{k geq 0} W_k^2 1_{{N_t = k}} right) = sum_{k geq 0} underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} underbrace{mathbb{P}(N_t=k)}_{=e^{-t} t^k/k!} = t e^{-t} sum_{k geq 1} frac{t^{k-1}}{(k-1)!} =t.$$



          Alternatively, we can use the tower property of the conditional expectation to show that



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} big[ mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2 mid N_t) big] = mathbb{E} big[ underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} big|_{k=N_t} big] = mathbb{E}(N_t)=t.$$





          To prove that the stopping time $tau$ is almost surely finite we can use the optional stopping theorem. Since $M_t := W_t^2-t$ is a martingale, it follows from the optional stopping theorem that $$mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2) = mathbb{E}(t wedge tau).$$ Since $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ this gives $$mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a^2,$$ and now the monotone convergence theorem yields $$mathbb{E}(tau) leq a^2$$ which shows, in particular, that $tau<infty$ almost surely.






          share|cite|improve this answer











          $endgroup$



          Note that $N_t$ is a random variable and therefore the statement "where $0 leq s < N_t$" doesn't make sense.





          $N_t$ takes values in $mathbb{N}_0$ and because of the independence from $(W_t)_{t geq 0}$ we have



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} left( sum_{k geq 0} W_k^2 1_{{N_t = k}} right) = sum_{k geq 0} underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} underbrace{mathbb{P}(N_t=k)}_{=e^{-t} t^k/k!} = t e^{-t} sum_{k geq 1} frac{t^{k-1}}{(k-1)!} =t.$$



          Alternatively, we can use the tower property of the conditional expectation to show that



          $$mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2) = mathbb{E} big[ mathbb{E}(W_{N_t}^2 mid N_t) big] = mathbb{E} big[ underbrace{mathbb{E}(W_k^2)}_{=k} big|_{k=N_t} big] = mathbb{E}(N_t)=t.$$





          To prove that the stopping time $tau$ is almost surely finite we can use the optional stopping theorem. Since $M_t := W_t^2-t$ is a martingale, it follows from the optional stopping theorem that $$mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2) = mathbb{E}(t wedge tau).$$ Since $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ this gives $$mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a^2,$$ and now the monotone convergence theorem yields $$mathbb{E}(tau) leq a^2$$ which shows, in particular, that $tau<infty$ almost surely.







          share|cite|improve this answer














          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer








          edited Dec 31 '18 at 18:18

























          answered Dec 31 '18 at 17:45









          sazsaz

          81.3k861127




          81.3k861127












          • $begingroup$
            Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
            $endgroup$
            – S. Crim
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:14








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:17








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:21






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:09




















          • $begingroup$
            Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
            $endgroup$
            – S. Crim
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:14








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:17








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Dec 31 '18 at 18:21






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
            $endgroup$
            – saz
            Jan 26 at 19:09


















          $begingroup$
          Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
          $endgroup$
          – S. Crim
          Dec 31 '18 at 18:14






          $begingroup$
          Thanks alot, once again. Your solution for a) using the tower property makes perfect sense. I have a question about your solution for b), though. How do you conclude from $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ that $mathbb{E}(t wedge tau) leq a$? I'm struggling to relate the fact that $|W_{t wedge tau}| leq a$ to $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$.
          $endgroup$
          – S. Crim
          Dec 31 '18 at 18:14






          1




          1




          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Dec 31 '18 at 18:17






          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim If $X$ is a random variable such that $0 leq X leq b$, then $mathbb{E}(X) leq b$, right? That's what I used to estimate $mathbb{E}(W_{t wedge tau}^2)$. (Sorry, there was a square missing in my estimate; should be fine now... perhaps this was the reason for your confusion.)
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Dec 31 '18 at 18:17






          1




          1




          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Dec 31 '18 at 18:21




          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim Yeah, sorry for the typo.
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Dec 31 '18 at 18:21




          1




          1




          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Jan 26 at 19:00




          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim $min{t,tau} uparrow tau$ holds also on ${tau=infty}$; just note that $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = infty = tau(omega)$$ for all $omega in {tau=infty}$.
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Jan 26 at 19:00




          1




          1




          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Jan 26 at 19:09






          $begingroup$
          @S.Crim Not sure whether it's just a typo... we have $$lim_{t to infty} min{t,tau(omega)} = lim_{t to infty} t = infty = tau(omega)$$ on ${tau=infty}$. (You wrote $tau(omega)=t$; that's wrong, note that this equation doesn't even make sense here)
          $endgroup$
          – saz
          Jan 26 at 19:09




















          draft saved

          draft discarded




















































          Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


          • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

          But avoid



          • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

          • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


          Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


          To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




          draft saved


          draft discarded














          StackExchange.ready(
          function () {
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3057880%2fexpected-value-of-brownian-motion-at-a-time-decided-by-a-rate-one-poisson-proces%23new-answer', 'question_page');
          }
          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown





















































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown

































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown







          Popular posts from this blog

          Måne

          Storängen

          VLT Carioca